⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
Harrison Bader

Harrison Bader

RHB
SF · 25 appearances tracked
3
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
12.0%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
10.1%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
87.5
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.097
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#12
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 2 games · 3 HRs in 25 games
Due (1×)
1.0×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
2
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
2
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
25
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
2
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#164.5
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
25 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-05-25 #12 Merrill Kelly R/R * 32.2% 🟢 A 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-24 #64 Noah Schultz R/L * 20.7% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-23 #142 Bryan Hudson R/L * 19.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-17 #74 Jeffrey Springs R/L * 19.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-13 #186 Shohei Ohtani R/R * 10.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-12 #178 Yoshinobu Yamamoto R/R * 8.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-11 #36 Roki Sasaki L/R * 11.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-10 #225 Bubba Chandler L/R * 9.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 🔥 ·
2026-05-09 #238 Braxton Ashcraft L/R * 6.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-08 #221 Carmen Mlodzinski L/R * 5.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-06 #239 Matt Waldron L/R * 11.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-05 #192 Walker Buehler L/R * 8.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-04 #187 Randy Vásquez L/R * 5.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-03 #122 Steven Matz L/L * 7.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-02 #116 Griffin Jax L/R * 8.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-01 #192 Shane McClanahan L/L 6.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-29 #139 Cristopher Sánchez R/L * 13.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-28 #73 Jesús Luzardo R/L * 14.6% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-04-26 #257 Max Meyer R/R * 9.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-25 #253 Eury Pérez R/R 8.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 #243 Shohei Ohtani R/R 5.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-21 #238 Yoshinobu Yamamoto R/R 6.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-18 #209 Cade Cavalli R/R 6.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-17 #207 Zack Littell R/R 9.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-10 #70 Shane Baz R/R 15.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·

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